Sunday, September 27, 2026
15 games · 15 with market lines · Updated 7:42 PM ET
70Watch
Model EdgeHidden Pitcher Value
COL @ CWS·3:10 PM ET·Rate FieldFinal 2–4
COL
Colorado Rockies
45%55%
CWS
Chicago White Sox
+217
+120 ▲
K. Freeland
-299
-120 ▼
A. Kay
⚡ Strong ValueCOL +217model +120 · 20pp edge
63Watch
Model EdgePitcher Mirage
TB @ PHI·2:30 PM ET·Citizens Bank ParkFinal 3–7
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
44%56%
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
+710
+125 ▲
N. Martinez
—
-125
Z. Wheeler
The away team may be underpriced at +710. The model estimates a fair price closer to +125 — a 39pp edge. Key signals: Model Edge, Pitcher Mirage.
61Watch
Model EdgeHidden Pitcher Value
NYM @ WSH·1:05 PM ET·Nationals ParkFinal 4–6
NYM
New York Mets
49%51%
WSH
Washington Nationals
+269
+105 ▲
S. Manaea
-383
-105 ▼
D. Herz
⚡ Strong ValueNYM +269model +105 · 28pp edge
60Watch
Model EdgePitcher Mirage
HOU @ ATH·3:05 PM ET·Sutter Health ParkFinal 9–0
HOU
Houston Astros
45%55%
ATH
Athletics
—
+123
P. Lambert
+760
-123 ▲
S. Johnson
The home team may be underpriced at +760. The model estimates a fair price closer to -123 — a 44pp edge. Key signals: Model Edge, Pitcher Mirage.
55Mild Watch
Model Edge
PIT @ DET·3:10 PM ET·Comerica ParkFinal 4–2
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
45%55%
DET
Detroit Tigers
-273
+125 ▼
J. Jones
+201
-125 ▲
R. Ryan
⚡ Strong ValueDET +201model -125 · 22pp edge
51Mild Watch
Model Edge
TEX @ MIN·3:10 PM ET·Target FieldFinal 4–6
TEX
Texas Rangers
47%53%
MIN
Minnesota Twins
+244
+114 ▲
M. Gore
-341
-114 ▼
D. Kremer
⚡ Strong ValueTEX +244model +114 · 24pp edge
49Mild Watch
Model Edge
CHC @ BOS·3:05 PM ET·Tropicana FieldFinal 6–2
CHC
Chicago Cubs
43%57%
BOS
Boston Red Sox
-195
+132 ▼
S. Imanaga
+148
-132 ▲
T. Houck
⚡ Strong ValueBOS +148model -132 · 16pp edge
49Mild Watch
Model Edge
STL @ MIL·3:10 PM ET·American Family FieldFinal 4–6
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
39%61%
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
+880
+159 ▲
A. Pallante
—
-159
J. Misiorowski
The away team may be underpriced at +880. The model estimates a fair price closer to +159 — a 35pp edge. Key signals: Model Edge.
47Mild Watch
Model Edge
LAA @ SEA·3:10 PM ET·T-Mobile ParkFinal 3–7
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
44%56%
SEA
Seattle Mariners
+274
+130 ▲
Y. Kikuchi
-392
-130 ▼
L. Gilbert
⚡ Strong ValueLAA +274model +130 · 23pp edge
46Mild Watch
Model Edge
AZ @ SD·3:10 PM ET·Petco ParkFinal 4–9
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
49%51%
SD
San Diego Padres
+140
+104 ▲
M. Soroka
-184
-104 ▼
R. Vásquez
⚡ Strong ValueAZ +140model +104 · 14pp edge
45Mild Watch
Model Edge
LAD @ SF·3:05 PM ET·Oracle ParkFinal 5–1
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
48%52%
SF
San Francisco Giants
-201
+110 ▼
J. Dreyer
+152
-110 ▲
C. Seymour
⚡ Strong ValueSF +152model -110 · 13pp edge
45Mild Watch
Model Edge
CIN @ TOR·3:07 PM ET·Rogers CentreFinal 1–5
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
44%56%
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
+414
+128 ▲
B. Williamson
-670
-128 ▼
M. Scherzer
⚡ Strong ValueCIN +414model +128 · 31pp edge
45Mild Watch
Model Edge
ATL @ MIA·3:10 PM ET·loanDepot parkFinal 3–5
ATL
Atlanta Braves
46%54%
MIA
Miami Marlins
+140
+118 ▲
J. Ritchie
-184
-118 ▼
J. Junk
⚡ Strong ValueATL +140model +118 · 11pp edge
17Pass
CLE @ KC·3:10 PM ET·Kauffman StadiumFinal 2–3
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
50%50%
KC
Kansas City Royals
-112
-101 ▼
P. Messick
-116
+101 ▼
D. Lynch IV
The away team may be underpriced at -112. The model estimates a fair price closer to -101 — a 4pp edge.
6Pass
BAL @ NYY·1:05 PM ET·Yankee Stadium
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
46%54%
NYY
New York Yankees
+100
+118 ▼
S. Baz
-120
-118
E. Rodríguez
The market (-120) and model (-118) are roughly aligned — 0pp within normal variance.